July 10, 2009

The Race to the December Elections

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The electoral court signed the contract with NEC-Argentina SA., for the implementation of the biometric vote for the coming December 6 general elections. The contract represents 21 million dollars. The CNE (Corte Nacional Electoral) wants to start registering voters by August 1. For that it needs to deliver the equipment to the 9 departmental courts by July 25. It is calculated that around 10,000 people will work to register all voters at the national level. The government liberated the CNE of 44 million dollars of import taxes to bring the equipment to Bolivia.

What a race!

Sources: La Razon, CNE.

Popularity Polls from Angus Reid

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This is the new poll conducted by Bolivian pollster firm, Apoyo, Opinion y Mercado, for many, among them Angus Reid Global Monitor. BTW, ARGM are a good source to track polls in Bolivia, I think, for the last few years.

Polling Data

Who would you vote for in the presidential election?

Jun. 2009

Apr. 2009

Evo Morales

44%

41%

Víctor Hugo Cárdenas

8%

7%

Samuel Doria Medina

7%

n.a.

Rubén Costas

6%

5%

Jorge Quiroga

5%

6%

Manfred Reyes Villa

5%

n.a.

Carlos Mesa

n.a.

7%

Other / Undecided

25%

34%

Source: Ipsos, Apoyo, Opinión y Mercado / ATB
Methodology: Interviews with 2,177 Bolivian adults in La Paz, El Alto, Cochabamba and Santa Cruz, conducted from Jun. 5 to Jun. 12, 2009. Margin of error is 2.1 per cent.

Though the numbers above do not say anything, in my opinion, is good to keep them as public record.

July 09, 2009

Interview with a Legar Advisor of the Hondurean Military

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This is an interview with the legal adviser of the Honduran military. He talks about why the military acted as it did. He also touches on the regional patter Chavez used to cope power.

Read here.

July 08, 2009

Elections 2009

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Here is an article from La Razon where one can see how many candidate wanna-bes there are:

René Joaquino • First candidate to announce he is running.

Román Loayza • Former MAS leader.

Víctor Hugo Cárdenas • Former Vicepresident will announce his candidacy end of July.

Alejo Véliz • Already in campaign.

Manfred Reyes Villa • Former Cochabamba Prefect, allied with promising young politician, Adriana Gil and with Marcial Fabricano.

Hugo San Martín • Has support from the middle class, will announce later.

Conalde • Opposition prefects work on a political formula and a candidate.

Óscar Ortiz • Senate President and former Podemos member wants to run.

Podemos • This Citizen Gruoup wants to support Jorge Quiroga for president.

Peter Maldonado • Former UN militant seeks political backing.

MIR - NSD • The remake of MIR is seeking an identity, a candidate and support (possible leader Rodrigo Paz, son of former party leader, Jaime Paz).

MNR • Seeking alliances and candidates.

Felipe Quispe • El Mallku wants to run against Evo.